Evidence over instinct in technology careers

Choosing a technology career on evidence means reading the real UK demand signals, where skills are scarce and where roles are shrinking, rather than following a hunch about what feels future-proof.
Author

Jordan Van Tonder

Job Title

Strategy and Delivery Lead

What does the UK data say about AI and technology hiring right now?

The headline is a split market. Demand for AI skills increased nearly 200 percent in a year, with London accounting for 80 percent of AI-related job postings and nearly two-thirds of all technology vacancies in the UK The Register (Accenture data). So the appetite for specialist capability is strong, and it is concentrated.

But the picture at the start of a career looks very different. Adzuna has seen a 30% drop in UK entry-level job postings since ChatGPT's launch, with graduates facing the toughest job market since 2018 techUK – What's actually happening with entry-level and graduate jobs?. The UK tech sector cut graduate jobs by 46 percent in the past year, with a further 53 percent drop projected The Register. Instinct says tech always hires juniors. The evidence says that door is narrowing fast.

Against a subdued 2025 economic backdrop, businesses took a cautious approach to hiring, but there were demand hotspots for specialist skills including AI, data, enterprise applications and cyber security Computer Weekly (tech recruitment outlook 2026). The lesson for anyone planning a move: follow the hotspots, not the headlines.

Which technology roles and skills are actually in demand?

Some roles sit squarely in critical shortage. IT business analysts, architects and systems designers, a group of 193k workers, are among the occupations in critical demand, with three out of five indicators in critical demand in 2025 Occupations in demand 2025, Explore Education Statistics, GOV.UK. That is a clear, evidence-led signal about where scarce experience pays off.

The seniority gap is widening too. In engineering, entry-level hiring has fallen to -19% while senior hiring sits at -10%, a nine-percentage-point gap GOV.UK - A snapshot of entry-level hiring in the UK. In other words, employers are still buying proven skills while pulling back at the junior end.

The longer view is more optimistic. For the total of AI-related occupations, the net change ranges from approximately 696,000 jobs in the Automation Scenario to 1,072,000 in the Technological Opportunities Scenario, with replacement demand rising from 3,077,000 to 3,193,000 jobs AI Skills for Life and Work: Labour market and skills projections - GOV.UK. And there are new routes in: apprenticeships have risen from 3% of AI hires in 2020 to 19% in 2025 GOV.UK / DSIT – AI Labour Market Survey 2025 report. Evidence over instinct means weighing both the near-term squeeze and the long-term growth.

How do you hire well in AI and technology roles?

Start with retention, because the market is mobile. 79% of UK technical professionals plan to change employers in 2026 Engineering and Technology Jobs (IET) / Rise Technical. That churn is both a risk to your current team and an opportunity to attract people who are already looking.

Then hire on evidence, not gut feel. Define the skill you actually need, test it with real tasks, and judge people on what they can do rather than where they trained. With entry-level routes narrowing, apprenticeships and reskilled talent deserve a serious look, especially as the UK government announced a partnership to upskill 7.5 million UK workers in essential AI skills by 2030, equivalent to around 20% of the UK workforce techUK.

  • Target the shortage roles where proven skills are scarce, such as business analysts, architects and systems designers.
  • Treat retention as a hiring strategy when most technical professionals are open to moving.
  • Build apprenticeship and reskilling routes to widen your talent pool as graduate hiring contracts.
  • Assess with practical tasks so you measure capability, not credentials.

Where does evidence-led hiring meet the right tools?

When the data tells you exactly which skills are scarce, the next step is reaching the right people quickly. We search a database of 15 million candidates, rank a shortlist in under 30 seconds and contact matched people in under a minute, so you move while the market is moving. Our recruitment agent manages recruitment end to end for 8% on a successful hire, with no monthly fee and no upfront cost. If you are hiring for AI and technology roles, Reed.ai can help you find the right person.

Sources

Jordan Van Tonder
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